GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/7/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Cuenca · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Cuenca are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Delfin SC are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Cuenca hold a 40.3-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Deportivo Cuenca holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Cuenca

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

Deportivo Cuenca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo CuencaLLWDD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Delfin SCLDDDD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo CuencaDelfin SC
28.6Attack0.0
66.7Defence0.0
42.9Form0.0
47.3Power7.0
1.13xG0.76
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