Deportivo Capiatavs
Tacuary
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 10/26/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Capiata · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Capiata 3-0 Tacuary
Original prediction
Deportivo Capiata
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 October 2026 at 09:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.0% | 43.8% | -9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.1% | 28.7% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.29 | 20.9% | 27.5% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Capiata
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Deportivo Capiata has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00