GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 5/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Capiata · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Deportivo Capiata are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Fernando De La Mora are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Capiata hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 45.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the Division Intermedia, while Deportivo Capiata holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Capiata

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

13.9%

Deportivo Capiata has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo CapiataDWLDD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Fernando De La MoraDWWWL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo CapiataFernando De La Mora
44.4Attack36.8
53.7Defence50.9
42.6Form40.4
48.8Power45.7
1.41xG0.93
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