Deportivo Capiatavs
Deportivo Santani
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Santani · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Capiata 0-1 Deportivo Santani
Original prediction
Deportivo Santani
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.13 | 28.5% | 24.2% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.0% | 24.9% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.01 | 44.5% | 50.9% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Santani
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Deportivo Santani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00