Deportivo Capiatavs
Benjamín Aceval
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 10/12/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benjamín Aceval · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Capiata 3-1 Benjamín Aceval
Original prediction
Benjamín Aceval
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 36.1% | 32.8% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 28.7% | 29.9% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.2% | 37.3% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Benjamín Aceval
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Benjamín Aceval has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20