Deportivo Capiatavs
3 de Noviembre
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 9/3/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Capiata · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Capiata 4-3 3 de Noviembre
Original prediction
Deportivo Capiata
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.3% | 47.3% | 5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.2% | 26.8% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 29.5% | 25.8% | -3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Capiata
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Deportivo Capiata has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00