GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 9/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

12 de Junio VH · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Deportivo Capiata 0-0 12 de Junio VH

Original prediction

12 de Junio VH

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.5125.4%28.7%3.3 pts
Draw3.1828.0%30.0%2.0 pts
Away1.9246.5%41.2%-5.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.18 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–114%
  3. 3.0–013%

Predicted outcome

12 de Junio VH

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

41.2%

12 de Junio VH has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo CapiataLLLWL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
12 de Junio VHLWDDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo Capiata12 de Junio VH
40.0Attack46.7
52.0Defence65.3
36.0Form64.0
44.8Power60.9
0.84xG1.29
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