Primera B MetropolitanaPrimera B Metropolitana
Tuesday, 14 July 2026Last updated 12:42
Deportivo Armenio

Deportivo Armenio

Home
W
21
Full time
Talleres Remedios

Talleres Remedios

Away
LW
Armenia Stadium
GoalVio prediction
Too close to call
No clear favourite

The model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.

Talleres Remedios36%
Draw35%
Deportivo Armenio29%
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction missed— Result: Deportivo Armenio
Win probability
Deportivo Armenio
29%
Draw
35%
Talleres Remedios
36%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Deportivo Armenio
73
Talleres Remedios
73
Defence
Deportivo Armenio
66
Talleres Remedios
66
Momentum
Deportivo Armenio
100
Talleres Remedios
50
Danger (xG)
Deportivo Armenio
1.80
Talleres Remedios
1.80
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.14 xG for Deportivo Armenio and 1.34 xG for Talleres Remedios. Deportivo Armenio's projected xG of 1.14 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-1 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Talleres Remedios's defensive record — 6 clean sheets in 10 matches — combined with Deportivo Armenio's limited attacking output (4 clean sheets conceded in 10 games) supports the model's projection of at least one side keeping a clean sheet.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.48 — moderate attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.Historical meetings between these sides have averaged 1.5 goals per game — a pattern consistent with the current xG projection and the model's under 2.5 lean.

xG for (Deportivo Armenio)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Talleres Remedios)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Deportivo Armenio)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Talleres Remedios)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio
WL
Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios
LWW

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
Deportivo Armenio29%
Draw35%
Talleres Remedios36%

Talleres Remedios leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Talleres Remedios Backed to Win — Model Projects 0-1

Deportivo Armenio host Talleres Remedios in Primera B Metropolitana. Deportivo Armenio have recorded WDDWDD in recent matches while Talleres Remedios arrive with a run of WWDLWW. These sides have met 10 times recently, averaging 1.5 goals per game.

Key factors

: 📈 Recent Form Talleres Remedios arrive in better recent form — 4 wins from 10 matches (WWDLWW) against Deportivo Armenio's 2. Form over the last 5–6 games is one of the most predictive short-term signals in the model, capturing momentum that longer-term averages can miss.
: 🔄 Head-to-Head Record Talleres Remedios have won 4 of the last 10 meetings between these sides — a historically dominant record that the model treats as a meaningful signal when the underlying stats are otherwise close.
: ⚽ Attacking Efficiency Deportivo Armenio have averaged 1.27 goals per game recently while Talleres Remedios have managed 1.50. Talleres Remedios have been the more prolific side — a factor the model weighs in its Talleres Remedios win projection.

Why GoalVio backs this

Talleres Remedios hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for Talleres Remedios.

Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Talleres Remedios, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Deportivo Armenio score first, the game becomes genuinely open.

Risk factors

  • These sides have drawn 4 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • The xG gap is narrow at 0.19 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Head to head

Deportivo Armenio 1Draws 00 Talleres Remedios
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
14 Jul 2026
Deportivo Armenio
W21
Talleres Remedios

Recent form

Deportivo Armenio

Deportivo Armenio

W
vs Talleres Remedios
14 Jul 2026
21
L
@ Deportivo Merlo
16 May 2026
23
Talleres Remedios

Talleres Remedios

L
@ Deportivo Armenio
14 Jul 2026
12
W
@ Argentino Quilmes
5 Jul 2026
30
W
@ San Martín Burzaco
16 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Deportivo Armenio vs Talleres Remedios?

GoalVio's model predicts Talleres Remedios to win with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Armenio vs Talleres Remedios?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Armenio vs Talleres Remedios?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Deportivo Armenio vs Talleres Remedios?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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