Deportivo Armeniovs
Sportivo Italiano
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Armenio 0-0 Sportivo Italiano, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Armenio 1-0 Sportivo Italiano
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 34.6% | 27.3% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.80 | 32.1% | 33.5% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 33.3% | 39.2% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Armenio 0–0 Sportivo Italiano
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.5%
Model confidence
39.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80