Deportivo Armeniovs
Deportivo Merlo
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 9/26/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Armenio · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Armenio 0-0 Deportivo Merlo, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Armenio 1-0 Deportivo Merlo
Original prediction
Deportivo Armenio
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.2% | 48.9% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 29.9% | 29.9% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.52 | 19.8% | 21.3% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Armenio 0–0 Deportivo Merlo
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Armenio
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Deportivo Armenio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00