GGOALVIO

Spain · Primera División Femenina · 10/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Alavés W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Deportivo Alavés W 1-1 Sevilla W

Original prediction

Deportivo Alavés W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 07:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4936.1%36.5%0.5 pts
Draw3.1428.6%27.4%-1.1 pts
Away2.5435.4%36.0%0.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.14 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–010%
  3. 3.1–010%

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Alavés W

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Deportivo Alavés W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo Alavés WLLLWL

GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Sevilla WDLWLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo Alavés WSevilla W
16.7Attack38.9
50.0Defence44.4
33.3Form38.9
35.0Power42.6
1.22xG1.21
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