GGOALVIO

Spain · Primera División Femenina · 9/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Alavés W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Deportivo Alavés W 1-0 Granada

Original prediction

Deportivo Alavés W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1941.2%41.9%0.6 pts
Draw3.2028.1%27.2%-1.0 pts
Away2.9430.6%31.0%0.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–08%

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Alavés W

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Deportivo Alavés W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo Alavés WLW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
GranadaWLLLL

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Deportivo Alavés WGranada
33.3Attack66.7
83.3Defence16.7
50.0Form50.0
56.2Power47.8
1.65xG1.25
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