Deportivo Alavés Wvs
Barcelona W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barcelona W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Alavés W 0-6 Barcelona W
Original prediction
Barcelona W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 42.00 | 2.2% | 23.5% | 21.3 pts |
| Draw | 11.58 | 8.0% | 22.5% | 14.4 pts |
| Away | 1.04 | 89.8% | 54.0% | -35.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-35.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Barcelona W
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Barcelona W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.33
GF 19 · GA 3 · avg 3.80/0.60