Deportivo Alavés IIvs
Real Oviedo II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Alavés II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Alavés II 3-1 Real Oviedo II
Original prediction
Deportivo Alavés II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.1% | 38.8% | -9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 28.9% | 29.3% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.89 | 23.1% | 31.9% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Alavés II
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Deportivo Alavés II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20