Deportivo Alavés IIvs
Racing Santander II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/24/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Alavés II · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (12%), 4-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Alavés II 3-3 Racing Santander II
Original prediction
Deportivo Alavés II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 64.5% | 55.8% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.26 | 21.1% | 23.8% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 6.21 | 14.5% | 20.4% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.26 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.4–09%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Alavés II
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
Deportivo Alavés II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40