Deportivo Alavés IIvs
Gernika
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Alavés II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Alavés II 1-1 Gernika
Original prediction
Deportivo Alavés II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 15:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.0% | 44.1% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.7% | 26.8% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.86 | 23.3% | 29.1% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Alavés II
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Deportivo Alavés II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00