Deportiva Venadosvs
Tigres de Alica
COMPLETEDMexico · Primera Premier · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tigres de Alica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportiva Venados 5-2 Tigres de Alica
Original prediction
Tigres de Alica
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 40.3% | 32.8% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.2% | 26.8% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.5% | 40.4% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Tigres de Alica
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Tigres de Alica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60