Deportiva Venadosvs
Pioneros de Cancún
COMPLETEDMexico · Primera Premier · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pioneros de Cancún · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportiva Venados 1-4 Pioneros de Cancún
Original prediction
Pioneros de Cancún
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 18:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.6% | 32.1% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.4% | 25.6% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 32.9% | 42.3% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Pioneros de Cancún
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Pioneros de Cancún has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20