Deportiva Mineravs
Orihuela
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 9/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportiva Minera · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportiva Minera 2-2 Orihuela
Original prediction
Deportiva Minera
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.8% | 39.1% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 30.7% | 29.6% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.42 | 26.5% | 31.3% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.95 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Deportiva Minera
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Deportiva Minera has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40