Deportiva Mineravs
La Nucía
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 10/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
La Nucía · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportiva Minera 2-0 La Nucía
Original prediction
La Nucía
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.9% | 33.3% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.3% | 29.1% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 33.9% | 37.6% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
La Nucía
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
La Nucía has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60