Deportiva Mineravs
Castellonense
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 10/11/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportiva Minera · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportiva Minera 0-0 Castellonense, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportiva Minera 3-2 Castellonense
Original prediction
Deportiva Minera
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 50.3% | 37.2% | -13.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.6% | 30.2% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.11 | 22.1% | 32.6% | 10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.1 pts
Projected Score
Deportiva Minera 0–0 Castellonense
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Deportiva Minera
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Deportiva Minera has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60