Deportiva Agropecuariavs
Union Comercio
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 9/13/2026, 8:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportiva Agropecuaria 0-0 Union Comercio, with an exact score probability of 35%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportiva Agropecuaria 1-0 Union Comercio
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 51.8% | 34.1% | -17.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.7% | 33.7% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 4.61 | 19.5% | 32.2% | 12.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Projected Score
Deportiva Agropecuaria 0–0 Union Comercio
Exact score probability: 35%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.7%
Model confidence
34.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40