Deportes Tolimavs
Tigre
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/21/2023, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Deportes Tolima are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tigre are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tigre hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80