Deportes TolimavsSao Paulo

Deportes Tolima are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sao Paulo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sao Paulo hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 64.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.