Deportes Tolimavs
Santa Fe
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 4/5/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Deportes Tolima are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Santa Fe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Primera A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00