Deportes Tolimavs
Puerto Cabello
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 6/28/2023, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Deportes Tolima are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Puerto Cabello are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80