GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 2/15/2026, 9:20:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportes Tolima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Deportes Tolima are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Once Caldas are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 56.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Primera A, while Deportes Tolima holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportes Tolima

Probability

40.7%

Model confidence

14.5%

Deportes Tolima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes TolimaDLDDW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Once CaldasWDDDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 1/5
Deportes TolimaOnce Caldas
48.1Attack54.7
66.7Defence60.0
56.8Form52.0
58.8Power56.7
1.25xG0.99
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