GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/10/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportes Tolima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportes Tolima are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Junior are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Deportes Tolima holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportes Tolima

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

Deportes Tolima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes TolimaDLDLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
JuniorWLDLD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Deportes TolimaJunior
33.3Attack0.0
61.9Defence66.7
52.4Form0.0
50.3Power23.7
1.11xG0.84
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