Deportes TolimavsIndependiente Medellin

Deportes Tolima are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Independiente Medellin are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Deportes Tolima holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.