GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 4/1/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportes Tolima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Deportes Tolima are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Rionegro Aguilas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the Primera A, while Deportes Tolima holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportes Tolima

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

Deportes Tolima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes TolimaWDWDW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Rionegro AguilasWDLWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Deportes TolimaRionegro Aguilas
48.1Attack38.1
66.7Defence57.1
56.8Form50.8
58.8Power51.6
1.35xG0.68
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