GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2/27/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportes Tolima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Deportes Tolima are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Deportivo Tachira FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 24.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.0% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Deportes Tolima holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportes Tolima

Probability

51.8%

Model confidence

15.0%

Deportes Tolima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes TolimaLWWDL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo Tachira FCWLDWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Tachira FC
0.0Attack22.2
66.7Defence38.9
0.0Form0.0
26.7Power24.5
1.43xG0.75
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