GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 5/3/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportes Tolima are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Deportivo Cali are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Primera A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes TolimaWLWLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo CaliWLDWW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Cali
48.1Attack36.4
66.7Defence74.2
56.8Form50.0
58.8Power55.1
0.81xG0.66
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