Deportes TolimavsAtletico Nacional

Deportes Tolima are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Atletico Nacional are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Nacional hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Primera A, while Atletico Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.