Deportes TolimavsAtletico Nacional

Deportes Tolima are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atletico Nacional are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Nacional hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Primera A, while Atletico Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.