Deportes Tolimavs
Alianza Valledupar
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 1/24/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportes Tolima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Deportes Tolima are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Alianza Valledupar are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.7% in the Primera A, while Deportes Tolima holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deportes Tolima
Probability
66.4%
Model confidence
19.7%
Deportes Tolima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60