GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 9/8/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santiago Wanderers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Deportes Temuco 3-0 Santiago Wanderers

Original prediction

Santiago Wanderers

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2540.3%29.1%-11.1 pts
Draw3.2228.1%24.2%-4.0 pts
Away2.8731.6%46.7%15.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

15.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–19%

Predicted outcome

Santiago Wanderers

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Santiago Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes TemucoLWLDD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Santiago WanderersWWWDD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Deportes TemucoSantiago Wanderers
54.4Attack60.0
50.9Defence66.7
42.1Form61.7
49.5Power63.5
1.11xG1.68
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