Deportes Temucovs
San Marcos de Arica
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 10/25/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportes Temuco · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportes Temuco 1-2 San Marcos de Arica
Original prediction
Deportes Temuco
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 43.1% | 37.8% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.8% | 29.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 29.1% | 32.7% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Deportes Temuco
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Deportes Temuco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20