GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 4/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportes Santa Cruz · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Deportes Santa Cruz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Union San Felipe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Santa Cruz hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 36.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.4% in the Primera B, while Deportes Santa Cruz holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportes Santa Cruz

Probability

51.4%

Model confidence

51.4%

Deportes Santa Cruz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes Santa CruzDLWLL

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Union San FelipeDLDLW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Deportes Santa CruzUnion San Felipe
42.1Attack26.3
40.4Defence40.4
28.1Form35.1
39.6Power36.4
1.61xG0.86
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