Deportes Santa Cruzvs
Union Espanola
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 9/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Espanola · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportes Santa Cruz 1-1 Union Espanola
Original prediction
Union Espanola
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 40.2% | 32.2% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.5% | 24.3% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 32.4% | 43.5% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Union Espanola
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Union Espanola has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00