Primera BPrimera B
Sunday, 19 July 202600:00Updated today
Deportes Santa Cruz

Deportes Santa Cruz

Home
W
vs
00:00
San Marcos de Arica

San Marcos de Arica

Away
LL
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
Deportes Santa Cruz(38%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Deportes Santa Cruz
38%
Draw
28%
San Marcos de Arica
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Deportes Santa Cruz
73
San Marcos de Arica
18
Defence
Deportes Santa Cruz
66
San Marcos de Arica
27
Momentum
Deportes Santa Cruz
100
San Marcos de Arica
0
Danger (xG)
Deportes Santa Cruz
1.80
San Marcos de Arica
0.45
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Deportes Santa Cruz)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (San Marcos de Arica)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Deportes Santa Cruz)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (San Marcos de Arica)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Deportes Santa CruzDeportes Santa Cruz
WD
San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
LLD

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Deportes Santa Cruz38%
Draw28%
San Marcos de Arica34%

Deportes Santa Cruz leads with 38% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Deportes Santa Cruz head into this in Primera B fixture in mixed form (W), while San Marcos de Arica arrive in mixed form (LL). Deportes Santa Cruz have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for San Marcos de Arica over 2 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Deportes Santa Cruz's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable San Marcos de Arica defence (27/100), while San Marcos de Arica's attack is up against a solid Deportes Santa Cruz backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Deportes Santa Cruz's favour.

Deportes Santa Cruz have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. San Marcos de Arica have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Deportes Santa Cruz and San Marcos de Arica in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Deportes Santa Cruz to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Deportes Santa Cruz 3844%, Draw 2770%, San Marcos de Arica 3386%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Deportes Santa Cruz

Deportes Santa Cruz

W
vs A. Italiano
5 Jul 2026
21
D
vs Palestino
27 Jun 2026
00
San Marcos de Arica

San Marcos de Arica

L
vs Coquimbo Unido
27 Jun 2026
01
L
vs Deportes Limache
20 Jun 2026
13
D
@ Curico Unido
12 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?

GoalVio's model predicts Deportes Santa Cruz to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more