Deportes Santa Cruzvs
Recoleta
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 9/14/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Recoleta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportes Santa Cruz 0-0 Recoleta
Original prediction
Recoleta
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 40.1% | 34.8% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.7% | 27.6% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 31.2% | 37.6% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Recoleta
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Recoleta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20