Copa ChileCopa Chile
Saturday, 27 June 2026Last updated 10:15
Deportes Santa Cruz

Deportes Santa Cruz

Home
W
00
Full time
Palestino

Palestino

Away
LDLW
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
Palestino(38%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Deportes Santa Cruz
35%
Draw
27%
Palestino
38%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Deportes Santa Cruz
73
Palestino
64
Defence
Deportes Santa Cruz
66
Palestino
46
Momentum
Deportes Santa Cruz
100
Palestino
33
Danger (xG)
Deportes Santa Cruz
1.80
Palestino
1.57
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Deportes Santa Cruz)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Palestino)
1.57
avg per match
xG against (Deportes Santa Cruz)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Palestino)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Deportes Santa CruzDeportes Santa Cruz
WD
PalestinoPalestino
LDLWW

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Deportes Santa Cruz35%
Draw27%
Palestino38%

Palestino leads with 38% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Deportes Santa Cruz head into this in Copa Chile fixture in mixed form (W), while Palestino arrive in mixed form (LDLW). Deportes Santa Cruz have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 25% for Palestino over 4 games.

The model rates Deportes Santa Cruz's attack at 73/100 against a 46/100 Palestino defence, and Palestino's attack at 64/100 against a 66/100 Deportes Santa Cruz backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Deportes Santa Cruz have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Palestino have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 0.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Palestino to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Deportes Santa Cruz 3520%, Draw 2690%, Palestino 3790%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Deportes Santa Cruz 0Draws 10 Palestino
Avg goals: 0.0
27 Jun 2026
Deportes Santa Cruz
D00
Palestino

Recent form

Deportes Santa Cruz

Deportes Santa Cruz

W
vs A. Italiano
5 Jul 2026
21
D
vs Palestino
27 Jun 2026
00
Palestino

Palestino

L
@ A. Italiano
30 Jun 2026
23
D
@ Deportes Santa Cruz
27 Jun 2026
00
L
vs A. Italiano
24 Jun 2026
12
W
vs Magallanes
20 Jun 2026
41
W
vs D. La Serena
16 May 2026
51

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Deportes Santa Cruz vs Palestino?

GoalVio's model predicts Palestino to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Deportes Santa Cruz vs Palestino?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Deportes Santa Cruz vs Palestino?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Deportes Santa Cruz vs Palestino?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more