GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 4/11/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Magallanes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Deportes Santa Cruz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Magallanes are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Magallanes hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Primera B, while Magallanes holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Magallanes

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Magallanes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes Santa CruzLWLLD

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MagallanesWDLWD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Deportes Santa CruzMagallanes
42.1Attack57.4
40.4Defence42.6
28.1Form51.9
39.6Power53.6
1.48xG1.96
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