GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 2/27/2023, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

D. La Serena · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Deportes Santa Cruz are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while D. La Serena are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and D. La Serena hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Primera B, while D. La Serena holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

D. La Serena

Probability

42.0%

Model confidence

42.0%

D. La Serena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes Santa CruzDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
D. La SerenaWW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Deportes Santa CruzD. La Serena
42.1Attack40.6
40.4Defence61.5
28.1Form50.0
39.6Power52.1
1.00xG1.38
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