Deportes Santa Cruzvs
Antofagasta
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 10/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Antofagasta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 0-2 (14%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportes Santa Cruz 0-0 Antofagasta
Original prediction
Antofagasta
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.31 | 27.4% | 17.0% | -10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.6% | 22.8% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 2.02 | 44.9% | 60.2% | 15.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.0–214%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Antofagasta
Probability
60.2%
Model confidence
60.2%
Antofagasta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40