GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 3/9/2024, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Concepción · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Deportes Rengo are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Concepción are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Concepción hold a 27.3-point power-rating edge (42.4 v 69.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.7% in the Segunda División, while Concepción holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Concepción

Probability

63.7%

Model confidence

63.7%

Concepción has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes RengoDLW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
ConcepciónDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 0/2
Deportes RengoConcepción
28.2Attack65.4
56.4Defence71.6
35.9Form71.6
42.4Power69.7
0.47xG1.69
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