GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 4/4/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportes Limache · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Deportes Limache are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Union La Calera are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Limache hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 40.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.6% in the Primera División, while Deportes Limache holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportes Limache

Probability

64.6%

Model confidence

64.6%

Deportes Limache has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes LimacheWLWDW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Union La CaleraDLWLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Deportes LimacheUnion La Calera
66.7Attack37.0
47.1Defence44.4
47.1Form35.2
53.2Power40.8
2.47xG1.04
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