GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 10/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportes Limache · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Deportes Limache 2-2 Palestino

Original prediction

Deportes Limache

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1842.4%46.2%3.8 pts
Draw3.5925.8%23.1%-2.7 pts
Away2.9231.8%30.7%-1.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–27%

Predicted outcome

Deportes Limache

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Deportes Limache has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes LimacheLWWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
PalestinoWLWLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportes LimachePalestino
62.3Attack52.2
49.3Defence52.2
47.8Form52.2
52.8Power53.0
1.91xG1.46
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