GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 9/3/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportes Limache · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Deportes Limache 2-0 Nublense

Original prediction

Deportes Limache

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5536.3%42.2%6.0 pts
Draw3.3927.3%23.7%-3.6 pts
Away2.5436.4%34.0%-2.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Deportes Limache

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

42.2%

Deportes Limache has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes LimacheLWLWL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
NublenseLWWDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportes LimacheNublense
63.3Attack43.3
43.3Defence60.0
45.0Form53.3
50.4Power54.5
1.61xG1.37
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