Copa Chile
Deportes Limache
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Coquimbo Unido
AwayThe model projects 1.31 xG for Deportes Limache and 1.68 xG for Coquimbo Unido — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.38), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.
The model projects a combined xG of 2.99 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. The xG distribution places the most weight on scorelines that clear 2.5, though the margin above the threshold is not large.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesDeportes LimacheCoquimbo UnidoProbability breakdown
Coquimbo Unido leads with 52% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Coquimbo Unido Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-2
Deportes Limache host Coquimbo Unido in Copa Chile. Deportes Limache have recorded WDLDWL in recent matches while Coquimbo Unido arrive with a run of WDWDDW. These sides have met 8 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Coquimbo Unido have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these sides. Historical head-to-head dominance captures tactical matchup advantages that aggregate stats can miss — when one team consistently finds ways to beat the same opponent, that pattern is a meaningful signal in its own right.
Biggest risk: Coquimbo Unido's projection depends on converting chances into goals. If Deportes Limache defend deep, absorb pressure, and hit on the counter, the match could end differently than the model projects — particularly if Coquimbo Unido fail to score in the first half.
Risk factors
- ⚠These sides have drawn 2 of their last 8 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
- ⚠The xG gap is narrow at 0.38 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
- ⚠With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
Head to head
Recent form
Deportes Limache
Coquimbo Unido
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Deportes Limache vs Coquimbo Unido?
GoalVio's model predicts Coquimbo Unido to win with 57% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Limache vs Coquimbo Unido?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.
Will both teams score in Deportes Limache vs Coquimbo Unido?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Deportes Limache vs Coquimbo Unido?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.